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2022-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% - ✗
Margin 36.0% 64.0% +3.2 ✗ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% - ✗
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 35.5% 64.5% - ✗

Actual: UCF Knights -2 (66-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Honor 34 6-9 5-8 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 17 12 -
D'Moi Hodge 31 5-7 3-5 2-3 4 3 3 0 0 15 18 -
Ronnie Degray III 28 1-3 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 2 1 5 10 -
Kobe Brown 26 3-6 2-3 1-2 5 2 0 0 4 9 6 -
Noah Carter 20 2-4 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 1 4 6 3 -
Sean East II 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Isiaih Mosley 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 0 -1 -
Tre Gomillion 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Aidan Shaw 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mohamed Diarra 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Johnson 37 4-9 2-4 2-2 3 6 6 0 2 12 16 -
Taylor Hendricks 36 4-10 2-3 1-2 3 1 0 1 2 11 4 -
C.J. Kelly 34 6-12 3-6 1-1 3 5 2 1 2 16 13 -
Ithiel Horton 33 6-14 6-13 1-2 4 1 1 1 1 19 11 -
Brandon Suggs 21 2-3 0-0 3-6 4 1 0 0 1 7 8 -
Jayhlon Young 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Tyem Freeman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Lahat Thioune 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Thierno Sylla 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter