Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +6 (58-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Reed Jr. | 35 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries | 35 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Smith | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Dashawn Davis | 30 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Cameron Matthews | 19 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| KeShawn Murphy | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jamel Horton Jr. | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Stevenson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| William McNair Jr. | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Sturtz | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Tucker DeVries | 32 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Roman Penn | 30 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Sardaar Calhoun | 28 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Wilkins | 27 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Darnell Brodie | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eric Northweather | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Conor Enright | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nate Ferguson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter