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2022-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% - ✓
Margin 45.5% 54.5% +1.0 ✓ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% - ✗
Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 91.6% 8.4% - ✗

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Prosper * 34 1-6 1-4 2-4 9 0 4 1 4 5 9 -
O. Ighodaro * 34 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 1 2 2 6 -
T. Kolek * 32 6-11 4-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 16 6 -
Kam Jones * 31 6-14 2-10 0-1 1 2 1 0 2 14 2 -
Stevie Mitchell * 23 3-5 1-3 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 8 4 -
David Joplin 19 0-5 0-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
S. Jones 13 4-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Chase Ross 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Ben Gold 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Matthews * 30 3-5 0-0 1-1 7 2 2 0 1 7 12 -
T. Smith * 30 3-8 0-0 1-6 16 6 1 0 4 7 18 -
D.J. Jeffries * 28 1-5 0-2 0-2 4 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Dashawn Davis * 27 4-6 1-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 3 12 6 -
Eric Reed Jr. * 23 3-5 3-5 6-7 2 0 0 0 0 15 12 -
Shakeel Moore 22 3-12 2-3 0-1 2 0 3 0 2 8 -1 -
Jamel Horton Jr. 13 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 -2 -
William McNair Jr. 11 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 2 1 1 5 6 -
Tyler Stevenson 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Kimani Hamilton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter