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2022-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 51.0% 49.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% - ✓
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +5.0 ✓ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - ✓
Efficiency 22.9% 77.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 41.8% 58.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% - ✓

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hunter Dickinson 35 10-22 1-3 2-3 9 1 0 3 2 23 12 -
Kobe Bufkin 33 3-10 1-2 4-4 2 3 2 1 2 11 7 -
Terrance Williams II 32 1-3 1-3 0-2 4 1 1 0 0 3 6 -
Jaelin Llewellyn 27 2-8 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 4 5 -
Jett Howard 26 5-12 2-6 4-6 4 1 1 0 0 16 10 -
Dug McDaniel 15 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
Joey Baker 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Isaiah Barnes 7 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Will Tschetter 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Tarris Reed Jr. 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
Jace Howard 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sahvir Wheeler 37 4-10 1-2 2-6 3 7 1 0 3 11 9 -
Cason Wallace 36 5-8 4-4 0-2 8 5 1 1 2 14 19 -
Oscar Tshiebwe 31 5-10 0-0 3-4 14 1 1 0 2 13 17 -
Antonio Reeves 27 4-9 3-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 11 5 -
Jacob Toppin 25 6-12 0-1 2-3 5 1 0 0 2 14 6 -
CJ Fredrick Jr. 15 1-3 1-3 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Daimion Collins 13 0-2 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
Chris Livingston 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Ugonna Onyenso 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 2 0 4 7 -
Lance Ware 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter