Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cason Wallace | 44 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Sahvir Wheeler | 40 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 34 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 24 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. | 32 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Jacob Toppin | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Antonio Reeves | 22 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Daimion Collins | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lance Ware | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Chris Livingston | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Hauser | 46 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Tyson Walker | 46 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Malik Hall | 42 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard | 35 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mady Sissoko | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Jaden Akins | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Pierre Brooks | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Carson Cooper | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tre Holloman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter