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2022-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 64.3% 35.7% -
Margin 76.3% 23.7% -6.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Log Adjusted 41.0% 59.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Broome 31 7-8 1-1 1-2 8 1 0 2 4 16 15 -
J. Williams 27 3-5 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
K.D. Johnson 26 0-5 0-3 6-7 3 4 1 1 6 6 4 -
A. Flanigan 25 3-8 1-6 2-2 3 5 0 1 3 9 7 -
Z. Jasper 24 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
C. Moore 19 0-1 0-0 5-6 3 0 1 0 1 5 7 -
T. Donaldson 16 4-8 2-4 2-3 2 1 4 0 2 12 9 -
W. Green Jr. 12 0-4 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 2 0 -
Y. Traore 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Cardwell 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
C. Westry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Peterson 38 2-10 0-2 2-2 1 4 2 0 2 6 1 -
B. Ellis 35 9-15 2-5 8-10 1 2 2 0 2 28 16 -
K. Johnson 34 2-3 0-1 6-6 5 4 6 0 3 10 19 -
J. Morgan 31 3-4 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 0 1 10 9 -
T. White 26 2-7 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 1 1 7 6 -
R. Waters 20 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 4 2 -
K. Wright 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Thomas 7 3-4 1-2 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 7 1 -

* = starter