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2022-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% - ✗
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 ✓ (25.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - ✓
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.6% 74.4% - ✓

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +28 (77-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Sharavjamts 35 3-12 0-3 0-1 5 2 0 0 1 6 0 -
DaRon Holmes II 29 5-15 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 1 2 13 7 -
Toumani Camara 26 2-9 1-2 4-4 5 1 0 1 0 9 7 -
Mustapha Amzil 24 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
R.J. Blakney 24 2-4 0-1 1-1 5 2 0 0 1 5 7 -
Koby Brea 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
Kaleb Washington 16 1-2 0-0 1-3 1 0 1 0 2 3 1 -
Zimi Nwokeji 14 1-5 0-2 1-4 4 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
Richard Amaefule 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -3 -
Brady Uhl 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Atticus Schuler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Cattoor 33 3-8 1-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 7 3 -
Darius Maddox 31 5-13 2-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 12 7 -
G. Basile 31 9-17 4-9 1-2 10 1 0 4 1 23 20 -
S. Pedulla 27 8-13 2-5 1-1 1 2 2 0 1 19 10 -
J. Mutts 22 0-0 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 2 8 -
MJ Collins 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
L. Kidd 13 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 2 0 6 8 -
Mylyjael Poteat 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
John Camden 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Ward 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Dawyot 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter