Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarace Walker | 39 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 39 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Tramon Mark | 37 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 35 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Emanuel Sharp | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ja'Vier Francis | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark | 35 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Beekman | 34 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Gardner | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kadin Shedrick | 29 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Isaac Mckneely | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Franklin | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Vander Plas | 17 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 | - |
| R. Dunn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter