Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Baylor Bears -7 (79-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 33 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Kadin Shedrick * | 32 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Vander Plas | 24 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Isaac Mckneely | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Dunn | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Flagler * | 37 | 5-14 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| LJ Cryer * | 31 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Flo Thamba * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Keyonte George * | 27 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Bridges * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dale Bonner | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Lohner | 20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Josh Ojianwuna | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Langston Love | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter