Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Williams II | 34 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dug McDaniel | 33 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jett Howard | 33 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin | 32 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Hunter Dickinson | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Joey Baker | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jace Howard | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Tschetter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis | 38 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Caleb Love | 35 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Armando Bacot | 32 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Leaky Black | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Pete Nance | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Puff Johnson | 21 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Jalen Washington | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Nickel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter