Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +5 (89-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Sueing | 39 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Sean McNeil | 37 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Bruce Thornton | 35 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 33 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Zed Key | 32 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tanner Holden | 16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Felix Okpara | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Love | 42 | 8-20 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Pete Nance | 40 | 4-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| RJ Davis | 40 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Armando Bacot | 37 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 25 | - |
| Leaky Black | 34 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Puff Johnson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Nickel | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Dontrez Styles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Washington | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter