Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Joiner | 39 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Smith | 36 | 6-20 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| C. Morsell | 36 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jack Clark | 34 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Ernest Ross | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| LJ Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Breon Pass | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Stute | 32 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Tyrin Lawrence | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Trey Thomas | 30 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ezra Manjon | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Liam Robbins | 26 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Wright | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Colin Smith | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Quentin Millora-Brown | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Paul Lewis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter