Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +21 (85-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Noah Collier * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| C. Mullins * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Gabe Dorsey * | 22 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -1 | - |
| A. Nelson * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ben Wight * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jack Karasinski | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Charlie Williams | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Matteus Case | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Lowe | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| M. Ayesa | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Milkereit | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Miles Hicks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mahorcic | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| T. Smith * | 31 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 4-7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Joiner * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jack Clark * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| C. Morsell * | 26 | 8-12 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ernest Ross | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| LJ Thomas | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Greg Gantt Jr. | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Breon Pass | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| KJ Keatts | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Snell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Nunnally | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Graham | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter