Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.4% | 24.6% | -6.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Richard * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Lofton * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Colin Castleton * | 32 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 18 | - |
| CJ Felder * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kowacie Reeves * | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Alex Fudge | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trey Bonham | 20 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Myreon Jones | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jason Jitoboh | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Riley Kugel | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Cleveland * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Darin Green Jr. * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Mills * | 32 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Corhen * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Cam'Ron Fletcher * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Warley | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Naheem McLeod | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tom House | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chandler Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| De'Ante Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter