Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam'Ron Fletcher | 32 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Matthew Cleveland | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Isaac Spainhour | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darin Green Jr. * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Mills * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Naheem McLeod * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Corhen | 35 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Warley | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Tom House | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayhlon Young * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Ithiel Horton * | 31 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Suggs * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Lahat Thioune | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| C.J. Kelly | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Walker | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter