Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Murray | 36 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Filip Rebraca | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Connor McCaffery | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tony Perkins | 22 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Patrick McCaffery | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Ahron Ulis | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Dasonte Bowen | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Payton Sandfort | 14 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Josh Ogundele | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Dix | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Roach | 37 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Mark Mitchell | 29 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Young | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Filipowski | 25 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Dariq Whitehead | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Dereck Lively II | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jacob Grandison | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter