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2022-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 65.0% 35.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% - ✓
Margin 53.8% 46.2% -0.8 ✗ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - ✓
Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.0% 79.0% - ✓

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Roach 39 6-17 1-5 3-4 4 1 1 0 3 16 2 -
Kyle Filipowski 33 6-18 1-6 4-4 14 1 1 1 3 17 13 -
Mark Mitchell 31 3-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 3 7 2 -
Tyrese Proctor 28 3-9 1-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 3 9 3 -
Dereck Lively II 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 4 8 -
Ryan Young 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 6 2 -
Jaylen Blakes 18 1-5 0-2 3-4 3 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
Jacob Grandison 10 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Wilson 38 11-26 0-7 3-4 11 5 1 1 3 25 14 -
D. Harris Jr. 35 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 10 0 1 1 6 13 -
Gradey Dick 32 6-11 1-4 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 14 5 -
K. McCullar Jr. 30 5-10 2-4 0-1 6 2 1 2 4 12 9 -
K.J. Adams Jr. 19 4-4 0-0 0-1 2 2 1 2 3 8 8 -
Bobby Pettiford 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 2 4 -
Ernest Udeh Jr. 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 4 0 0 4 -
Zuby Ejiofor 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 2 5 -
Joseph Yesufu 5 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter