Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Webster * | 44 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| David Muoka * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| EJ Harkless * | 29 | 10-22 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Shane Nowell * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Keshon Gilbert * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 38 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 7-9 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jackie Johnson III | 20 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jordan McCabe | 16 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Cameron Burist | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Keyshawn Hall | 7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Victor Iwuakor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lucas * | 43 | 6-11 | 1-6 | 10-12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 22 | - |
| K. Blackshear * | 41 | 4-15 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Dar. Williams * | 38 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| W. Baker * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tre Coleman * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nick Davidson | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| H. McIntosh | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Foster | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Powell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter