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2023-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Utah State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% -
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: Utah State Aggies +13 (86-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Degenhart * 37 5-11 0-3 4-5 6 2 0 0 1 14 10 -
M. Rice * 33 4-12 2-6 3-3 5 2 1 0 1 13 8 -
M. Shaver Jr. * 33 4-12 0-2 5-6 7 5 2 0 1 13 14 -
C. Agbo * 33 6-11 4-7 2-3 4 1 1 0 0 18 13 -
N. Smith * 26 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
J. Whiting 19 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 4 -1 -
L. Milner 16 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 6 9 -
K. Young 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ashworth * 39 6-13 3-6 4-5 4 8 4 0 0 19 22 -
S. Bairstow * 35 6-10 0-2 0-0 7 4 0 0 1 12 12 -
M. Shulga * 31 4-7 0-1 3-3 4 6 0 0 1 11 13 -
Player #4278395 * 29 9-12 4-6 2-2 8 1 1 0 1 24 21 -
T. Dorius * 11 2-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
RJ Eytle-Rock 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Z. Hamoda 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter