Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | -3.7 | ✓ (21.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -25 (66-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bairstow * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Max Shulga * | 35 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Steven Ashworth * | 34 | 10-17 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Taylor Funk * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Trevin Dorius * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| RJ Eytle-Rock | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Zee Hamoda | 15 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Szymon Zapala | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Connor Odom | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Landon Brenchley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Conner Gillis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Harkless * | 30 | 7-15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Keshon Gilbert * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Shane Nowell * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Justin Webster * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| David Muoka * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jackie Johnson III | 25 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Jordan McCabe | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Keyshawn Hall | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Victor Iwuakor | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Karl Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Burist | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter