Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bradley * | 30 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| D. Trammell * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Butler * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Parrish | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Arop | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. LeDee | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Seiko | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Degenhart * | 38 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Shaver Jr. * | 36 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Rice * | 33 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| N. Smith * | 28 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| L. Milner * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Agbo | 34 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Whiting | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Young | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Sylla | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter