Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✗ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -2 (71-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Trammell * | 32 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 30 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| L. Butler * | 20 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Parrish | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Seiko | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Arop | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. LeDee | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Udeze * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Allick * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Mashburn Jr. * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| J. House * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 22 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Dent | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Seck | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter