🐻⬇️🏀

Air Force Falcons 53
@
UNLV Rebels 54
2023-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 11.7% 88.3% - ✓
Margin 6.2% 93.8% +14.9 ✓ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 29.3% 70.7% - ✓
Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 11.3% 88.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 11.3% 88.7% - ✓

Actual: UNLV Rebels +1 (54-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Beau Becker * 40 2-8 1-5 0-0 9 6 2 1 0 5 15 -
Rytis Petraitis * 39 5-9 0-1 6-8 10 1 0 0 5 16 13 -
Jake Heidbreder * 35 6-12 4-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 16 2 -
Ethan Taylor * 30 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 3 3 -
Jeffrey Mills * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Carter Murphy 28 6-11 1-2 0-0 2 1 5 2 1 13 11 -
Camden Vander Zwaag 9 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 0 1 -
Marcell McCreary 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 2 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keshon Gilbert * 33 2-8 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 -2 -
EJ Harkless * 30 9-17 0-6 5-7 7 2 3 0 7 23 11 -
David Muoka * 28 3-3 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 3 0 7 13 -
Shane Nowell * 24 3-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
Justin Webster * 23 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Jackie Johnson III 18 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 3 3 -
Jordan McCabe 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 2 0 4 3 4 -
Keyshawn Hall 15 2-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
Victor Iwuakor 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 0 3 -

* = starter