Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Allick * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Morris Udeze * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn Jr. * | 34 | 2-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Javonte Johnson * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jaelen House * | 31 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 17 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Donovan Dent | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Birima Seck | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Rice * | 38 | 9-20 | 5-10 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart * | 37 | 4-14 | 0-8 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Shaver Jr. * | 30 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Naje Smith * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Lukas Milner | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jace Whiting | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Pavle Kuzmanovic | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter