Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +19 (77-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stevens * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| John Tonje * | 27 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Patrick Cartier * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Baylor Hebb * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Rivera * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Taviontae Jackson | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Lake | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Joe Palmer | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| James Moors | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Trace Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrion Trammell * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 24 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Micah Parrish | 19 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Seiko | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Arop | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jared Barnett | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ty. Broughton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Elijah Saunders | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tr. Broughton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter