Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Webster * | 32 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| EJ Harkless * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Shane Nowell * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| David Muoka * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Keshon Gilbert * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jordan McCabe | 29 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Victor Iwuakor | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Keyshawn Hall | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jackie Johnson III | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Rice * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Shaver Jr. * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Naje Smith * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Lukas Milner | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jace Whiting | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kobe Young | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Pavle Kuzmanovic | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter