Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies -2 (61-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Butler * | 36 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 26 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| D. Trammell * | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Arop | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. LeDee | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Parrish | 21 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Seiko | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ashworth * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| M. Shulga * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| S. Bairstow * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Funk * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| T. Dorius * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Z. Hamoda | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| RJ Eytle-Rock | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter