Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.1% | 10.9% | -11.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -16 (53-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stevens * | 36 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| John Tonje * | 33 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Baylor Hebb * | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Rivera * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Patrick Cartier * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Joe Palmer | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| James Moors | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Trace Young | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder * | 37 | 5-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 29 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Beau Becker * | 27 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 20 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Corbin Green | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chase Beasley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter