Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +20 (72-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Rice * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Naje Smith * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jace Whiting * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pavle Kuzmanovic | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Kobe Young | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Mohamed Sylla | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Lukas Milner | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Sadraque Nganga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Burke Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrion Trammell * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Lamont Butler * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Micah Parrish | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Seiko | 19 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Arop | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Elijah Saunders | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ty. Broughton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cade Alger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Barnett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter