Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +20 (72-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder * | 36 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Beau Becker * | 29 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nikc Jackson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Corbin Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jake Murphy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Byron Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Beasley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Blackshear * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dar. Williams * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Lucas * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Tre Coleman * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| W. Baker * | 25 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Nick Davidson | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Daniel Foster | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Powell | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trey Pettigrew | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Wigington | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter