Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 7-9 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Ethan Taylor * | 35 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Beau Becker * | 21 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 14 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Nikc Jackson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaelen House * | 38 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Morris Udeze * | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn Jr. * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Josiah Allick * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Javonte Johnson * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Donovan Dent | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Birima Seck | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter