🐻⬇️🏀

Utah State Aggies 75
@
San Diego State Aztecs 85
2023-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% - ✓
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 ✓ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% - ✗
Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.1% 62.9% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +10 (85-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Ashworth * 36 3-10 2-7 0-0 2 7 0 0 2 8 5 -
Sean Bairstow * 34 7-16 3-6 1-2 5 4 0 0 3 18 8 -
Taylor Funk * 33 8-13 4-9 2-3 4 1 3 0 0 22 17 -
Max Shulga * 22 3-9 2-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 8 2 -
Trevin Dorius * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 3 2 2 -
Zee Hamoda 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
RJ Eytle-Rock 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Szymon Zapala 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Johnson * 29 4-9 0-1 3-3 10 1 0 1 1 11 13 -
Darrion Trammell * 29 2-7 1-3 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 7 7 -
Lamont Butler * 23 2-5 2-2 2-2 2 4 2 0 3 8 8 -
M. Bradley * 21 2-10 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 4 -1 -
N. Mensah * 20 4-6 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 0 0 10 9 -
A. Seiko 27 7-10 7-9 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 25 17 -
Micah Parrish 22 2-6 2-4 3-4 2 1 1 0 0 9 7 -
Jaedon Ledee 17 4-4 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 0 0 9 10 -
A. Arop 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter