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2023-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 20.5% 79.5% - ✓
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 ✓ (23.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - ✓
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 29.6% 70.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% - ✓

Actual: San José State Spartans +30 (82-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Heidbreder * 29 4-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
Rytis Petraitis * 28 3-7 0-2 2-3 2 3 1 1 1 8 7 -
Jeffrey Mills * 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 -
Ethan Taylor * 22 2-6 0-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 6 2 -
Beau Becker * 16 1-6 1-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Camden Vander Zwaag 19 4-7 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 11 7 -
Marcell McCreary 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Corbin Green 19 2-6 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 2 0 6 6 -
Nikc Jackson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 0 4 -
Carter Murphy 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jake Murphy 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chase Beasley 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Byron Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Kellan Boylan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alvaro Cardenas * 34 5-10 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 12 3 -
Omari Moore * 34 9-15 2-4 6-6 4 6 0 0 0 26 21 -
Trey Anderson * 23 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 0 5 -
Ibrahima Diallo * 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
Robert Vaihola 25 9-12 0-0 0-2 10 0 1 0 0 18 17 -
Tibet Gorener 24 3-4 1-2 0-1 1 2 1 0 2 7 5 -
JT Elder 6 0-1 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Leo Torbor 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ryen Perry 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nico D'Augusta 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kevin Simeth 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Garrett Anderson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Kellen King 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter