Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Rice * | 42 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Shaver Jr. * | 39 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Naje Smith * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart * | 37 | 12-20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Chibuzo Agbo * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Kobe Young | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mohamed Sylla | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jace Whiting | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lukas Milner | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn Jr. * | 43 | 9-21 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Josiah Allick * | 42 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | - |
| Jaelen House * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Morris Udeze * | 33 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Javonte Johnson * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Donovan Dent | 21 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Sebastian Forsling | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Birima Seck | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter