Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -6 (76-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamont Butler * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Darrion Trammell * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 30 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Micah Parrish | 30 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| A. Seiko | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Arop | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stevens * | 44 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Isaiah Rivera * | 41 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Lake * | 36 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| James Moors * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - |
| John Tonje * | 22 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Joe Palmer | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Patrick Cartier | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Taviontae Jackson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Baylor Hebb | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter