Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.2 | ✗ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -11 (74-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rytis Petraitis * | 45 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Jake Heidbreder * | 38 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Marcell McCreary * | 37 | 8-12 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Beau Becker * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Corbin Green | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stevens * | 44 | 6-22 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Lake * | 38 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Rivera * | 36 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| John Tonje * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Patrick Cartier * | 30 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| James Moors | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Taviontae Jackson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Palmer | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Baylor Hebb | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter