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UNLV Rebels 84
@
New Mexico Lobos 77
2023-01-07

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 11.6% 88.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% - ✗
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 ✗ (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% - ✓
Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% - ✓

Actual: New Mexico Lobos -7 (77-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luis Rodriguez * 36 4-9 1-4 3-3 6 2 0 0 2 12 9 -
EJ Harkless * 35 8-16 2-5 7-7 6 5 1 1 1 25 21 -
Justin Webster * 32 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 6 3 -
Keshon Gilbert * 30 5-7 1-2 3-6 3 5 4 0 5 14 14 -
David Muoka * 24 4-6 0-0 3-6 7 0 0 2 0 11 14 -
Jordan McCabe 22 4-7 2-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 12 6 -
Victor Iwuakor 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 0 4 6 -
Shane Nowell 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -
Jackie Johnson III 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Morris Udeze * 37 8-12 0-0 6-10 13 2 3 1 4 22 25 -
Josiah Allick * 35 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 4 5 -
Jaelen House * 28 4-13 1-5 3-4 3 2 4 0 4 12 4 -
Javonte Johnson * 28 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 7 3 -
Jamal Mashburn Jr. * 21 7-15 0-3 5-8 1 0 0 0 2 19 3 -
KJ Jenkins 26 3-9 3-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 9 4 -
Donovan Dent 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 4 5 -
Birima Seck 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter