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Utah State Aggies 77
@
Air Force Falcons 65
2023-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 98.1% 1.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 93.1% 6.9% - ✓
Margin 94.6% 5.4% -15.8 ✓ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 69.8% 30.2% - ✓
Efficiency 90.1% 9.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% - ✓

Actual: Air Force Falcons -12 (65-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean Bairstow * 34 4-9 0-0 3-3 6 4 0 0 2 11 10 -
Taylor Funk * 30 6-11 2-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 16 7 -
Rylan Jones * 25 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 3 2 0 0 2 8 -
Max Shulga * 23 4-7 1-2 2-3 3 2 0 0 4 11 5 -
Trevin Dorius * 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
Steven Ashworth 26 3-8 3-5 6-7 8 1 0 0 0 15 16 -
Zee Hamoda 15 4-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 4 9 3 -
RJ Eytle-Rock 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ethan Taylor * 38 5-11 4-6 0-0 2 5 1 1 1 14 11 -
Jake Heidbreder * 36 8-16 2-6 1-1 4 1 1 0 3 19 6 -
Jeffrey Mills * 32 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 2 0 -
Corbin Green * 18 3-6 0-1 1-1 4 1 1 0 2 7 5 -
Camden Vander Zwaag * 16 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Rytis Petraitis 25 4-6 1-1 2-5 2 5 0 2 2 11 12 -
Beau Becker 22 3-6 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 8 8 -
Carter Murphy 10 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 -
Marcell McCreary 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter