Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.3% | 33.7% | -3.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bradley | 35 | 6-14 | 5-10 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Darrion Trammell | 34 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 9-11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 22 | - |
| N. Mensah | 26 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - |
| A. Arop | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Seiko | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Micah Parrish | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Lamont Butler | 15 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Johnson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Elijah Saunders | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Harkless | 37 | 6-19 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Justin Webster | 36 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Luis Rodriguez | 36 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Keshon Gilbert | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Victor Iwuakor | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jordan McCabe | 20 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| David Muoka | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jackie Johnson III | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter