Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.4% | 8.6% | -13.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lucas | 35 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 11-12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 22 | - |
| K. Blackshear | 35 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tre Coleman | 34 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Dar. Williams | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| W. Baker | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Nick Davidson | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Trey Pettigrew | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Powell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Foster | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 31 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Ethan Taylor | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis | 28 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Beau Becker | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jeffrey Mills | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Corbin Green | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nikc Jackson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter