Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +19 (88-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Stevens | 38 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -1 | - |
| John Tonje | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Rivera | 31 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Patrick Cartier | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| James Moors | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Evans | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Baylor Hebb | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Joe Palmer | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Trace Young | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn Jr. | 34 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jaelen House | 33 | 10-14 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Morris Udeze | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Josiah Allick | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 23 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Javonte Johnson | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Donovan Dent | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Sebastian Forsling | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Birima Seck | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Braden Appelhans | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Safi Fino-A-Laself | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter