Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Shaver Jr. | 34 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Naje Smith | 34 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Chibuzo Agbo | 32 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Max Rice | 27 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jace Whiting | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lukas Milner | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Young | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Pavle Kuzmanovic | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Coleman | 36 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| J. Lucas | 35 | 3-13 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Dar. Williams | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Blackshear | 27 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| W. Baker | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Nick Davidson | 21 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Foster | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Powell | 10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Trey Pettigrew | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter