Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +16 (71-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Mills | 27 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jake Heidbreder | 26 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Rytis Petraitis | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ethan Taylor | 24 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Corbin Green | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Carter Murphy | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Beau Becker | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Camden Vander Zwaag | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jake Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bradley | 31 | 9-12 | 6-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Darrion Trammell | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Seiko | 24 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Johnson | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Lamont Butler | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jaedon Ledee | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| N. Mensah | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Micah Parrish | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Arop | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Elijah Saunders | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter