Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +2 (2-0). Predictions use season-end ratings.