Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Daniels | 36 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| H. Madden | 27 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ali Dibba | 26 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Tobias Cameron | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Immanuel Allen | 25 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Joe Pleasant | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Airion Simmons | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Ja'Sean Jackson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Cameron Steele | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nana Antwi-Boasiako | 33 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Sadaidriene Hall | 32 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| AJ Cajuste | 30 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Nigel Hawkins | 26 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Latrell Jossell | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Roti Ware | 25 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Hayman | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derrick Tezeno | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Robbie Armbrester | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter