Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | โ |
| Margin | 99.3% | 0.7% | -27.5 | โ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | โ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -17 (41-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reigan Richardson | 27 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Shayeann Day-Wilson | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Taylor | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jordyn Oliver | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Brown | 23 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 10 | - |
| L. Volker | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Heide | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ashlon Jackson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| V. de Jesus | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Balogun | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mikonowicz | 38 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Wiard | 34 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Q. Lockett | 27 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Goss | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. King | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Garcia | 17 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Cook | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Jansen | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Brewer | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Y. Curry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter