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2023-02-25

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Mercer Bears Spread Result
Elo 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 โœ“ (11.6 off)
Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% - โœ“

Actual: Mercer Bears +22 (72-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Clark * 39 5-13 0-0 4-6 5 0 3 2 3 14 8 -
Elijah Morgan * 32 4-10 1-6 2-3 3 0 1 0 2 11 3 -
Madison Durr * 27 3-6 0-1 2-3 3 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Tony Carpio * 22 4-8 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 2 9 5 -
David Maynard * 21 1-6 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -
AJ Smith 27 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Colby McAllister 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Dylan Engler 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Hughes 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bailey Conrad 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Josh Davis 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luis Hurtado * 29 4-6 3-4 1-1 8 4 1 0 0 12 19 -
Kamar Robertson * 26 3-6 1-3 2-3 2 2 0 0 1 9 6 -
Jalyn McCreary * 23 6-11 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 2 12 7 -
Shawn Walker Jr. * 19 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
James Glisson III * 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
Braden Sparks 20 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 8 2 -
Jah Quinones 17 3-4 1-2 1-2 2 1 2 0 0 8 9 -
Shannon Grant 13 1-1 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 2 2 5 11 -
Michael Zanoni 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
David Craig 8 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Jordan Jones 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
John Treanor 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Diego Rivera 3 0-0 0-0 1-4 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
TJ Grant 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Harrison Drake 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter