Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas State Wildcats | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +0.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finister | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 36 | 9-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Markquis Nowell * | 35 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Camryn Carter * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| David N'Guessan * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Desi Sills | 29 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Ismael Massoud | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tykei Greene | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Turnbull | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Eric Hunter Jr. * | 40 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Manny Bates * | 39 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Simas Lukosius * | 37 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jayden Taylor * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Chuck Harris * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Pierce Thomas | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Connor Turnbull | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter