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2022-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 6.0% 94.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Thornton * 36 5-8 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 11 2 -
Sean McNeil * 35 5-13 2-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 14 4 -
Zed Key * 33 7-9 0-1 7-8 8 1 1 3 3 21 22 -
Justice Sueing * 26 4-10 0-1 4-4 5 1 0 0 3 12 5 -
Isaac Likekele * 25 2-3 0-1 1-4 7 1 1 0 0 5 11 -
Tanner Holden 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Brice Sensabaugh 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 4 -2 -
Roddy Gayle Jr. 9 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Felix Okpara 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Roach 33 3-9 0-3 7-9 3 5 1 0 3 13 10 -
Kyle Filipowski * 30 6-11 0-0 4-6 7 2 3 0 2 16 15 -
Tyrese Proctor * 27 2-8 2-3 6-6 3 1 0 0 0 12 8 -
Dereck Lively II * 18 4-5 0-0 3-3 5 1 1 2 1 11 14 -
Mark Mitchell * 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 3 2 -
Jacob Grandison 26 3-5 1-2 2-2 4 0 2 0 2 9 8 -
Ryan Young 22 3-4 0-0 4-4 5 2 0 0 2 10 11 -
Jaylen Blakes 15 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 0 2 4 -
Dariq Whitehead 13 2-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 1 -

* = starter