Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -2 (68-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark * | 38 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 38 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kadin Shedrick * | 22 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Vander Plas | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Isaac Mckneely | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Dunn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jett Howard * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Hunter Dickinson * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jaelin Llewellyn * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Terrance Williams II * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Joey Baker | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Dug McDaniel | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jace Howard | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter